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Welcome to the Zero Sum Era. Now How Do We Get Out?

13 点作者 throw0101c2 个月前

6 条评论

Herring2 个月前
It&#x27;s a known problem. Eg check out optimal strategies to the prisoner&#x27;s dilemma.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Prisoner%27s_dilemma" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Prisoner%27s_dilemma</a><p>&gt; <i>The winning deterministic strategy was tit for tat, developed and entered into the tournament by Anatol Rapoport. It was the simplest of any program entered, containing only four lines of BASIC,[10] and won the contest. The strategy is simply to cooperate on the first iteration of the game; after that, the player does what his or her opponent did on the previous move.[11] Depending on the situation, a slightly better strategy can be &quot;tit for tat with forgiveness&quot;: when the opponent defects, on the next move, the player sometimes cooperates anyway, with a small probability (around 1–5%, depending on the lineup of opponents). This allows for occasional recovery from getting trapped in a cycle of defections.</i><p>Extremely straightforward, and in real-world settings (business, politics, relationships), moderate forgiveness usually wins in the long run.
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throw0101c2 个月前
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;q9a5B" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;q9a5B</a><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.nytimes.com&#x2F;2025&#x2F;03&#x2F;01&#x2F;world&#x2F;asia&#x2F;trump-zero-sum-world.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;archive.is&#x2F;https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.nytimes.com&#x2F;2025&#x2F;03&#x2F;01&#x2F;world&#x2F;...</a>
jleyank2 个月前
Well, the logical response is to do the same - make sure that any alternative to the US is examined first. Because working with the US will mean you&#x27;re supposed to lose...
throw0101c2 个月前
&gt; <i>“The reversion to zero-sum thinking now is in some ways a backlash against the positive-sum thinking of the post-Cold War era — the idea that globalization could lift all boats, that the U.S. could draft an international order in which nearly everyone could participate and become a responsible stakeholder,” said Hal Brands, a global affairs professor at Johns Hopkins University and senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute. “The original Trump insight from 2016-17 was that this wasn’t happening.”</i><p>&gt; <i>What we are now experiencing, especially in the United States, is effectively a rejection of the belief in abundance and cooperation. It is an uprising against the premise that many groups can gain at once — a cynical, contagious us-or-them attitude, spreading across countries, communities and families.</i><p>&gt; <i>With kids’ games, maybe zero-summing feels like tough love. But on a national and global scale, it’s increasingly hard not to ask: What are we losing with a win-or-lose approach?</i>
pfdietz2 个月前
Those pushing the new approach would argue we never left the non-cooperative setting, we just set ourselves up to be exploited.<p>A great deal of what Trump is doing can be understood this way. Things that are being done for the &quot;greater good&quot; are perceived as setting the US to be the sucker, paying for benefits accruing mostly to others.
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jauntywundrkind2 个月前
I&#x27;d just commented elsewhere, the book <i>Non-zero: The Logic of Human Destiny</i> was a super valuable read for me in undergrad, did a lot to sell me a view that civilization is built on cooperation &amp; collectivized planning &amp; shared efforts. That that is where humanity as a species distinct from the animals originated from. <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Nonzero:_The_Logic_of_Human_Destiny" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Nonzero:_The_Logic_of_Human_De...</a><p>Its incredibly dark times that dark side energy has so taken over the noosphere, has got its claws in &amp; clawed more attention that any other way of viewing the world. This framing, of zero versus non-zero sum thinking, is incredibly useful for grappling with &amp; seeing what&#x27;s happening in our time. Very glad to see this idea surface, and I hope it can be a resounding message, that can help steer our challenged species&#x27;s long term orientation.