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The End of Weather Forecasting

122 点作者 nickcotter2 个月前

13 条评论

breput2 个月前
It literally was scripted already in the Project 2025[0]:<p>They said exactly what was going to happen, all pre-planned, and anyone is surprised that it is happening?<p>To be clear - FUCK Project 2025 and especially FUCK anyone messing with NOAA&#x2F;NWS.<p>And if you think I&#x27;m exaggerating:<p>&quot;Focus the NWS on Commercial Operations. Each day, Americans rely on weather forecasts and warnings provided by local radio stations and colleges that are produced not by the NWS, but by private companies such as AccuWeather. Studies have found that the forecasts and warnings provided by the private companies are more reliable than those provided by the NWS.&quot;<p>[0] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;static.project2025.org&#x2F;2025_MandateForLeadership_CHAPTER-21.pdf" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;static.project2025.org&#x2F;2025_MandateForLeadership_CHA...</a><p>&quot;Break Up NOAA&quot;
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saulrh2 个月前
I&#x27;ll point out some higher order impacts of this, since the article doesn&#x27;t: Losing these forecasts will be catastrophic for American farmers. Crops literally live and die on weather forecasts; forecasts tell farmers what to plant, when to plant it, how to plant it, how to water it, and when to harvest it. Without these forecasts we <i>will</i> see negative effects on the entire American agricultural industry and all of the people it feeds, US citizens or not. I&#x27;m not a farmer myself, so I can&#x27;t tell you exactly how severe the impact will be, but there will be an impact, whether it&#x27;s an immediate crop failure and outright famine this year or &quot;only&quot; shockwaves bouncing through our entire economy as farmers plant the wrong crops and go out of business over the next few years. This is one of the scenarios I&#x27;ve been most worried about when it comes to the stability of human civilization, up there alongside the looming specter of nuclear war and the randomisation of US foreign policy.
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koshergweilo2 个月前
&gt; It was designed to integrate multiple forecasting centers in one building to improve operating efficiency<p>Oh man, the irony of the &quot;Department of Efficiency&quot; closing down a branch that was made specifically to make the system more efficient
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ggm2 个月前
Out the other side of this will be diversified weather reporting with less reliance on the US. They lose influence.<p>Fine, save short term costs. Fine, expand the private weather marketplace in America. Ok, so explain to non giant agribusiness US domestic farmers why they now pay for what was a free&#x2F;low cost service. They vote more by numbers than the corporates do. So you&#x27;ve alienated your base for what?<p>Tornado season may be interesting or another beast from the east, or reduced air flight reliability.
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bambax2 个月前
The illustration in the article is extremely appropriate.<p>It&#x27;s quite strange why Americans tolerate that an unelected, and even unappointed foreigner would destroy their country piece by piece. Isn&#x27;t that exactly what the much-touted second amendment was designed to prevent?<p>Edit: YCombinator &quot;AI Startup School&quot; [0] used to present the list of speakers, and Musk was the first one on that list. Now there&#x27;s no list anymore. It would be interesting to know if it means he&#x27;s not coming, or if YC isn&#x27;t comfortable with publishing their choices.<p>[0] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;events.ycombinator.com&#x2F;ai-sus" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;events.ycombinator.com&#x2F;ai-sus</a><p>Original text on that page was: <i>YC is throwing our first-ever AI startup school in San Francisco on June 16 and 17th.\n\nAI Startup School will gather 2000 of the top CS seniors, masters, and PhD candidates in AI to hear from speakers including Elon Musk, Satya Nadella, Sam Altman, Andrej Karpathy, Andrew Ng and many more</i>
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pogue2 个月前
While it&#x27;s important to point this issue out, I have to say that this &quot;blog post&quot; is nothing more than a link to a Bluesky post and a verbatim copy &amp; paste of the Axios article on the subject.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.axios.com&#x2F;2025&#x2F;03&#x2F;03&#x2F;doge-noaa-weather-building-leases-trump" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.axios.com&#x2F;2025&#x2F;03&#x2F;03&#x2F;doge-noaa-weather-building-...</a>
everybodyknows2 个月前
Wondering if the unacknowledged agenda Musk is acting on is to cut off all data that informs us of the trajectory of climate change?
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ChrisArchitect2 个月前
[dupe]<p>Blogspam<p><i>Doge seeks to cancel lease on key NOAA computing facility</i><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=43248492">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=43248492</a><p>Other discussions:<p><i>The American Weather Forecast Is in Trouble</i><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=43224862">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=43224862</a>
tharmas2 个月前
The whole DoGE thing is about Ideology. It has nothing to do with efficiency. It should actually be called Department of Ideology.<p>Its about privatization.<p>Americans should read up on what happened with Thames Water in the UK.
jauntywundrkind2 个月前
Another absolutely horrific act of sabotage making the whole world worse for no particular reason.
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sixstringninja2 个月前
Why is this flagged?
erelong2 个月前
* &quot;the end of weather forecasting by specific government institutions&quot;
agilob2 个月前
&gt;The Trump administration has informed NOAA that two pivotal centers for weather forecasting will soon have their leases canceled, sources told Axios.<p>And the work will eventually be outsourced to IBM who are working on forecasting AI models.
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