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Does it matter whether SARS-CoV-2 leaked from a lab?

15 点作者 mhb大约 2 个月前

4 条评论

ben_w大约 2 个月前
That&#x27;s the first time I&#x27;ve seen a decent argument about why it might matter.<p>But I&#x27;d still say &quot;no, it doesn&#x27;t matter&quot;, because the risk arguments for <i>future</i> pandemics due to each cause remain as they were in the absence of Covid:<p>• Labs doing safety wrong was already a thing, and this is worth improving because they still are<p>• Wet markets were already known to be a pandemic risk, and still are<p>Considered a different way, we may get multiple future pandemics from <i>both</i> sources.<p>Two independent Poisson distributions going forward is more important than one single Bayesian inference of the past.
symbolicAGI大约 2 个月前
It matters and the author&#x27;s guidance for mitigating future immense risk is welcome.
bediger4000大约 2 个月前
Sure does. If it leaked from a lab, media and Republicans can build a narrative that Trump was not at fault for his poor handling of the pandemic.
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derbOac大约 2 个月前
I think it matters for several reasons but I think the opportunity to ever really know with a high degree of certainty has long gone.