TE
科技回声
首页24小时热榜最新最佳问答展示工作
GitHubTwitter
首页

科技回声

基于 Next.js 构建的科技新闻平台,提供全球科技新闻和讨论内容。

GitHubTwitter

首页

首页最新最佳问答展示工作

资源链接

HackerNews API原版 HackerNewsNext.js

© 2025 科技回声. 版权所有。

What does it mean for a technology to follow Wright's Law?

30 点作者 tosh大约 1 个月前

1 comment

gwern28 天前
&gt; Most technologies do not follow Wright’s Law – the prices of bicycles, fridges, or coal power plants do not decline exponentially as we produce more of them.<p>I would bet Roser is wrong here and he can&#x27;t provide a reference for his claims here. I&#x27;d predict that they <i>do</i> decline exponentially, it is just that (1) we have already produced a huge number of them so it&#x27;s hard to observe the next doubling of cumulative production, and (2) the learning rate exponent is a lot worse than in the more obvious examples like solar panels or deep learning.
评论 #43702182 未加载