I have this theory about bubbles like the 2008 financial crisis and now AI, that like, often it can sound like “all the experts agree” but most experts are just parroting other experts, the number of actual unique experts with unique opinions gleaned from their unique exploration of the data is relatively small (or that the underlying data is flawed and the number of experts looking at it doesn’t matter). In this theory the number of CEO’s who predict the end of work, is not at all correlated or perhaps inversely correlated with its likliehood.<p>To further extrapolate, what models are being used to predict the end of work and jobs? how many different models are being used? How many people or institutions are independently coming to the same conclusion based on independent analysis?