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3D TV is Dead

40 点作者 derpenxyne超过 12 年前

18 条评论

jonnathanson超过 12 年前
<i>"To the objective, cynical observer, 3D TV has always come across as a fad fabricated by TV makers and Hollywood to sell more TVs and Blu-ray discs."</i><p>I'm perhaps a subjective observer, working in the entertainment biz, though I consider myself cynical enough to pass similar judgment. 3D has been a fantastic way to build sizable margin into box office ticket prices, and presumably, the same logic compelled studios and electronics manufacturers to push 3D technology into the home: to keep the home video revenue stream alive for a few more, gloriously lucrative years.<p>Now I'll remove my cynic's cap. I think 3D is a very interesting piece of technology. I can count on five fingers the number of movies I've seen that make truly good use of 3D. Nonetheless, those that do seem to do it well. Say what you will about Dances With Aliens, errr, Avatar. But the use of 3D in that picture was pretty freaking cool. Same with (some) of the 3D in The Hobbit. When used to convey a sense of depth and scale, especially in wide shots over vertical landscapes, 3D can really bring a sense of majestic proportion to a big-budget film.<p>Does that mean I want to invest in a 3D TV for my home? No. The calculus that went into most consumers' purchases of 3D TVs was essentially "Eh, might as well." It was a hedge against the possibility that the future really <i>would</i> be all about 3D. If faced with a new TV purchase, some folks figured they might as well spring for the model with all the latest bells and whistles. If 3D ended up going nowhere, well, at least the TV could still play 2D at high def. There just weren't enough of these people to bankroll the 3D revolution, and/or enough people who could be convinced that a revolution was actually forthcoming.<p>As a consumer, as a production professional, and as a fanboy, I bear no animus toward 3D. I just think it will end up as another tool in the filmmaker's arsenal, rather than the Next Great Leap that Hollywood wanted people to think it was.
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jerf超过 12 年前
Interesting times. 3D is dead, but... 4K and 8K aren't going to fare any better. Few people sit close enough to the TV for it to matter, or want to.<p>It will be interesting to watch the TV manufacturers flail around for a while, trying desperately to avoid the cold hard realities that come with becoming a commodity...
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vidarh超过 12 年前
"Only 20-30% penetration" (according to the article) apparently means it is "dead". 20-30% in that short timespan sounds amazingly <i>high</i> given how long a typical TV lasts, and the wide range of form-factors (presumably "nobody" cares about 3D on the lower sized screens that are rarely used for movies).<p>And it explains the de-emphasis on 3D somewhere like CES: You won't easily sell lots more new high-end TV's if you emphasise on something all of your competition has, including the low end. And when I went to Amazon to check right now, the <i>cheapest</i> 42" screen on offer in their UK store is a 3D tv...
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jamieb超过 12 年前
My 2c. I have a 3D TV and I buy 3D blu-rays. Its the only reason I buy blu-rays now. Otherwise I buy online on Amazon or iTunes. We don't go to the movies ever. I do, however, enjoy the kind of silly, action movies, such as Transformers, that many of my clever friends turn the noses at. Not coincidentally these friends don't see the value that 3D adds to a movie. "The Piano", or "Withnail and I" probably wont ever benefit from 3D treatment. OTOH, action movies like Transformers, and gag movies like Despicable Me, are ideal for 3D and we now have about 10 glasses in our house for like minded friends and sleep-overs. I sincerely hope that there are enough of us to keep the 3D market going.
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swalsh超过 12 年前
Seeing as the food network is about 80% of the television I watch, i'm really hoping smell-o-vision becomes the next big thing ;)
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sk5t超过 12 年前
TheVerge has a similar article titled "It's official: 3D is dead": <a href="http://www.theverge.com/2013/1/8/3852452/death-of-3d/in/3608257" rel="nofollow">http://www.theverge.com/2013/1/8/3852452/death-of-3d/in/3608...</a><p>3D had always struck me as a shallow gimmick to get folks with lots of disposable income to think about upgrading their already-very-good 55" LCD TVs. Come on, it hangs on the wall, is less than an inch thick, and looks great all the time--what more do you want?
clux超过 12 年前
From near the end of the article: "This isn’t to say that 3D TV is dead — but it’s certainly no longer the next big thing."<p>Linkbait title.
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S_A_P超过 12 年前
3D will certainly never gain favor with me until the requisite headache inducing glasses are eliminated. Polarized glasses reduce my field of vision to about 25% of what it normally is so I feel like Im watching through telescopes. I have yet to see a 3D movie that makes me think "I am so glad I am wearing these glasses".<p>I think that it will require a radical shift in display tech (a'la holographic projections) to make me rethink this position, and even then, I would probably much prefer a 2D screen for television shows or most movies. Games and virtual reality simulations would be a different animal for me.
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xpose2000超过 12 年前
3D tv would be amazing if two things happen:<p>- We no longer need glasses<p>- The FPS is increased to provide smooth a smooth viewing experience. Without a smoother 3D experience, people will still feel fatigued eyes when the motion is going too fast.<p>Here is a bit more info about 3D and FPS in Hobbit. <a href="http://www.fastcocreate.com/1682085/will-the-hobbit-start-a-48-fps-movie-revolution" rel="nofollow">http://www.fastcocreate.com/1682085/will-the-hobbit-start-a-...</a>
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JabavuAdams超过 12 年前
Increasing resolution to 4k is silly for movies. It may make sense for sports, documentaries, or educational shows where you can show dense (computer-screen-like) data with the picture.<p>This same discussion comes up a lot in games, but the experience there is that increasing resolution just shows that you're using shitty digital puppets with bad acting/writing. Increasing pixel-throughput for post-processing or faking an "analog" look <i>can</i> lead to more creativity, though.
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Quizz超过 12 年前
A better sell is cheaper quality projectors or larger screen Larger screen size for less. Consumers will buy more 60" TVs if they drop to sub-$500 territory. More 60" TVs mean more "smart" content can be stuffed along the margins. Hardware is a commodity, but viewership on smart TVs will be the rage. TV manufacturers will be like phone carriers - subsidize the hardware in order to hook them on the software.
stcredzero超过 12 年前
Why extremetech isn't dead is a point to ponder. Seriously, adding 5 seconds to page load time on their mobile site? (On new iPads, even.)
taeric超过 12 年前
I do still think using the 3D glasses to give full screen multiplayer games a run is a great idea. Did that just not take off?
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jfb超过 12 年前
Neither high-res or display technology will do squat to "push the envelope of content creation". The desperate scramble to escape the commoditization trap will throw up more and more and more of these "breakthroughs", of declining marginal utility.
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brennenHN超过 12 年前
ONLY 20-30% market share?! How much turnover is there in the TV market normally?
sageikosa超过 12 年前
Lacking stereoscopic depth perception, I fail to be drawn towards 3D anything.
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mikec3k超过 12 年前
Good riddance.
madaxe超过 12 年前
Colour is dead. Nobody's talking about their colour TVs any more.