I can't pin my finger on it, but this feels too hand-wavy to me. AFAIK, the housing market crash was caused by bad lending - people with bad credit were able to get loans for homes for far more than they could afford (in the hopes of flipping the home), they defaulted, and the banks are left holding the bag.<p>Could this happen to higher-education? Could too many graduating students defaulting on their loans cause problems for future students in obtaining loans? I don't know how student lending works (how does a bank know when or when not to issue a loan to a student?), but I'd wager that if they aren't taking into account a student's performance record and potential future earnings, they will soon.<p><i>Google break</i><p>Huh. It looks like they don't [1]. It would be interesting to learn why they haven't yet, it seems like a good idea. It's certainly reasonable to think that there are more factors to take into account (I'm thinking that of moral/ethical considerations mentioned in the linked paper).<p>[1] <a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1941070" rel="nofollow">http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1941070</a>