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Tomorrow’s world: A guide to the next 150 years

34 点作者 fwdbureau超过 12 年前

13 条评论

ck2超过 12 年前
Where is the mention of millions of drones being used to watch the people by every police force around the world?<p>In the USA this will happen by 2020 guaranteed.<p>These predictions are way too "everything is going to be great".<p>They are also missing the listing for "there is now an anniversary of a mass murder by guns for every day of the year in the USA" which is far more likely in about a decade.<p>Also missing a marker for when 1% of the world population has more wealth than the remaining 99%.<p>My biggest fear of the future is right after they figure out how to make cheap, unlimited power is going to a massive number of wars. People like to imagine it will bring world peace but that's not human tendency. We seem to always go towards killing people.
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shocks超过 12 年前
&#62;&#62; We're sorry but this site is not accessible from the UK<p>-__-
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ohwp超过 12 年前
Although the list is nice I thinks it's a pity there isn't much out-of-the-box thinking in there. And maybe that's because it will be totally different from what we ever could imagine.<p>My grandma is 93 years old. I don't think anyone could ever imagine a wireless-telephone-phonograph-motionpicture-talktoeveryone-device around the time she was born.
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petercooper超过 12 年前
33/1 in the 2060s for "first cloned human" seems conservative, unless it's merely because of current laws. There was a failed attempt in 2004 with a cloned embryo but it doesn't seem as if the process and technology is particularly beyond reach. I'd be more surprised if we don't have Star Trek-style transporters by the 2060s.
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melling超过 12 年前
When will I be able to get on a supersonic flight and fly at twice the speed of sound from NYC to Tokyo ? How about a 300mph maglev from SF to LA? I'd like to commute from LA to SF every day.<p>Moore's law is great but we really seem to have stalled with moving people and goods from point A to point B.
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tocomment超过 12 年前
How do you read the odds numbers? Is 8/1 likely or not likely?
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albertzeyer超过 12 年前
I'm missing links to the specific sources and more background details in many cases.<p>You might also be interested in this: <a href="http://www.futuretimeline.net/" rel="nofollow">http://www.futuretimeline.net/</a> (<a href="http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2458521" rel="nofollow">http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=2458521</a>)
netcan超过 12 年前
likely &#60; 2018 - your computer has a sense of smell / Arctic free of summer ice / immortal mouse /<p>likely &#62; 2040 - Cars purely automated &#38; driver free by.<p>Looking at this article is seems that although we might be able to take good guesses at whats coming, we have got no idea when.
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suby超过 12 年前
Immortal mice in 2015? Tax abolished in the USA?<p>Some of these are very reasonable, like the driving car in 2030, but some of them are pretty far fetched and I don't understand the reasoning behind them. Why would we abolish tax in the USA in 2090? How would that even work?
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Sharlin超过 12 年前
The odds seem to be all over the place. 8:1 for a superintelligence in 2045 but 100:1 for a mere corporation-status AI in 2112? Unless they mean that it's highly unlikely that the concept of a "corporation" has any meaning in a hundred years...
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samsolomon超过 12 年前
I would love to see a 3rd-party candidate as president before 2025.
JonSkeptic超过 12 年前
They forgot one event...<p>2013 - Pigs Fly
taligent超过 12 年前
One year for a digital currency to be accepted as US tender and two years for Facebook to beaten by (assumably) Google+ ?<p>Seems just a tad optimistic there.
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