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2000, the Year Formerly Known as the Future

85 点作者 dpup大约 12 年前

23 条评论

jasonkester大约 12 年前
There were a few y2k technologies that I'd like to get back though.<p>Email was nice, back when it consisted of nothing but emails from people you knew. And the occasional spam that could be knocked out by simple keyword filters.<p>Usenet was nice. Even with that dial-up netzero account you had access to a HN-esque level of intelligent discourse on pretty much every subject imaginable. Now we only get that with tech.<p>But back then you had essentially a HackerNews for rock climbing, one for chess, one for rocket science (with real rocket scientests there who would answer your questions), and ones for discussing whether an imperial star destroyer would win in a fight with the USS Enterprise.<p>But then Spam happened and it killed both those things. The Usenet went away in the span of a single year, to be only fractionally replaced with a series of terrible PHPBB boards that nobody could find and you certainly weren't about to meet any real rocket scientests hanging out in.<p>Not sure I'd trade my iPad to get all that back, but it was still pretty nice.
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precisioncoder大约 12 年前
Hmmmm it seems the author wasn't online in 2000... Online Technologies: LiveJournal, ICQ, MIRC, MSN Messenger, AOL Messenger, or starting July 1, 2000 for those who wanted to rule them all Trillian. Pretty much everything that our modern web architecture does could be replicated there. It's just easier and slicker now.<p>I'd normally wake up, (computer was of course running 24/7) check ICQ for messages, check on my downloads and chats on MIRC, read my friends LiveJournal posts and head off for school. If I needed a big file I would burn it to cd the night before and could simply grab the cd, for something small can always post online on my file server (don't remember what I used but remember having a semi easy solution that ran locally on my home computer). Pretty much everything we do now I could do then, just the time lag was bigger, didn't really matter to me though, you just plan ahead a bit more. If I want to hang out with someone send them an ICQ, they'll get it when they're home, etc. In the meantime I'll log onto an MMO, maybe an old school MUD, Ultima Online, or Everquest. Or maybe I'll play some CounterStrike. On my broadband internet. Yes things have advanced in the last decade, but 2000 was far from the technical wasteland that this article paints.
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rachelbythebay大约 12 年前
I like the saying "the future is not evenly distributed".<p>October 2000: My digital camera was $500, not $5500. I used to carry it all over the place. Not everyone relies on pockets!<p>November 2000: I did a 4800 bps dialup call over an analog cell connection to get a map going in a pinch while parked in a rental car far from home. The hardest part was figuring out where I was so as to have a meaningful "start" address for mapquest. <i>That</i> involved getting lucky and finding a storefront with a number visible, then looking at a yellow pages site for all of the locations of that store in the town I was in to see which one matched. That gave me a street name and now I had a starting address.<p>(Newark, DE, you are on my list of miserable places to navigate at night.)<p>Normal people would never do the 4800 bps PPP craziness with images disabled, but a $500 camera from CompUSA (remember them?) isn't that special.
prawn大约 12 年前
Beyond 2000 was a future/tech show that aired in Australia when I was a teenager. I can remember one segment showcasing a little drivable vehicle of some sort that unfolded from a suitcase and wanting one for myself.<p>As we neared 2000, people would joke about the show's name and its future.<p>The Wikipedia page for the show (<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beyond_Tomorrow_(TV_series)" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Beyond_Tomorrow_(TV_series)</a>) suggests that it eventually suffered from budget cuts as well as competition from other sci/tech shows. But here we are more than a decade beyond 2000 and though I admittedly don't watch much TV other than food/travel/doco shows on SBS OnDemand, it saddens me that there seems to be nothing there to capture the expectant wonder for the generations to come.<p>So much of popular television is entranced by the bland present.<p>This year I preordered the MYO gesture interpreting device and backed a Kickstarter project for wireless and colour-changing light globes. Someone on Kickstarter invented an origami-like fold up kayak.<p>I hope the average kids of now see these things and dream of what's to come.
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joshAg大约 12 年前
What we remember as 2000 is actually closer to 2005:<p>* Wifi, laptops, andcell phone are ubiquitous, smart phones are just beginning to emerge.<p>* laptops are reasonably powerful compared to desktops.<p>* Streaming media works fairly well.<p>* Broadband internet is fast enough to stream movies at a decent quality.<p>* LCD screens have pretty much replaced CRTs.<p>* TV is no longer just 480p.<p>* Social networks exist.<p>* google maps, and mapquest exist.<p>* wikipedia exists.<p>* gmail is in beta.<p>* MP3 players have hard drives instead of flash chips and can store a large number of songs.<p>Another great way to realize how ancient 2000 was compared to now is to watch the first few seasons of the west wing.
eksith大约 12 年前
Checking out the French ideas from 1899-1910 on what 2000 would be like :<p><a href="http://publicdomainreview.org/2012/06/30/france-in-the-year-2000-1899-1910/" rel="nofollow">http://publicdomainreview.org/2012/06/30/france-in-the-year-...</a><p>"The New-Fangled barber" isn't quite there yet, but we do have electric razors and trimmers. Then again, the electric trimmer is fairly old at this point.<p>"An Arial battle" and "Torpedo planes" bombers, ground attack aircraft and fighters. I'm not surprised the first use ideas for aircraft are in war.<p>We have "Aviation police" of sorts, except they're a combination of air traffic controllers and the FAA. And the near-collisions in "Aero-Cab station" are eerily similar to what has already happened. We also have air-mail, but "Rural Postman" with his own flying machine hasn't quite happened yet.<p>We don't have "intensive breeding" machines per-se, but the poultry industry is pretty automated these days.<p>We have drones today except they don't have a guy with a looking glass. We have "electric floor cleaners" that don't involve a maid.<p>Am I the only one shocked that the maid uniform has essentially stayed exactly the same (maybe with shorter skirts). I mean, look at military uniforms. The helmets in particular have changed a great deal. Same with police uniforms.<p>The "well trained orchestra" is basically a synthesizer. "House rolling through the countryside" is real today and we call them Dollies (<a href="http://hmrsupplies.com" rel="nofollow">http://hmrsupplies.com</a>)<p>"At school" knowledge download is not quite what we have, but Wikipedia and Google come close. After all, almost everyone these days carries a mobile device even if they have no other electronic device on them.<p>"Madame at her toilet" is kinda out there, but you could say those new multi-head showers are <i>almost</i> that.<p>"Battle cars" we've got 'em and they're tanks/armored cars.<p>"A Croquet Party" underwater is a tourist thing and even happens in backyard pools.<p>A "Whale bus" is basically an organic submarine that we haven't built yet, but the company Innerspace has built a dolphin sub. <a href="http://www.seabreacher.com/dolphin" rel="nofollow">http://www.seabreacher.com/dolphin</a><p>All in all, that's quite close to what we would have had if idealized projections came forth and other disruptive technologies like automobiles didn't become as common first.<p>Still bitter about not having my flying car yet, damnit!
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meric大约 12 年前
At work, you show your boss your presentation «Invent Dropbox before someone else does». You realize while presenting to your boss the idea isn't feasible because home internet connections of 56kb/s aren't fast enough to share files without hogging users' phone lines for hours at a time in the first place.
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rm999大约 12 年前
2000 wasn't that bad for me. AIM was a decent social network (back then people used their statuses to share what was going on). Mapquest was very competent at providing directions. Pirating music was at least as easy it is today (and finding new music was pretty easy too). Yahoo news and many others like it did a great job of aggregating important news. The path to portable music was arguably pretty mature with portable mp3 cd players and minidisc. My university library let us borrow a 2 MP digital camera; sure, we couldn't afford to buy the camera, but I still have 1000s of photos from that camera, many that look fine printed at 4x6 and 8.5x11.<p>The true life changers from the article for me: smartphones with always-on internet (these existed in 2000, but they were overpriced and sucked), laptops + wifi, and wikipedia. Also, amazon - I do almost all my shopping online now.
rdl大约 12 年前
I don't understand the "no laptops, no wifi" people -- I had first and second generation Wavelan IEEE pc cards and HP Omnibook 5700ctx laptops since ~1998. Ricochet modems also helped (the Metricom things), although mostly I just stuck to places with ethernet available.<p>Yahoo mail <i>always</i> sucked. I pretty much never used a single Yahoo product (I didn't care about Yahoo! Finance at the time, which is the only one I'd use today other than flickr)<p>Yes, at the time desktops with big CRTs were still superior (I think I was using a Linux box running slackware and also had access to HP-UX and AIX and Solaris machines) to laptops. Desktops still are superior for a lot of things.
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blackhole大约 12 年前
I was 9 and ecstatic about getting to stay up until midnight to see the NEW MILLENNIUM. It was disappointing the next day when nothing seemed to change.<p>Boy did things change during high school.
lsc大约 12 年前
In 2000 (or, at least, by 2001) I had a palm v with a CDPD wireless "modem" thing. The minstrel, (I kept mis-spelling it in ways that looked like "menstrual," to the great amusement of my friends and co-workers.) It worked fine; the only problem was that the palm V only had one serial port... if I used the CDPD modem, (which doubled the thickness of the palm v,) I couldn't plug in the keyboard, meaning SSH wasn't really practical. (on-screen keyboards have never worked for me; not then, not now.)<p>The external keyboard for the palm V was pretty nice, though, assuming you had a flat surface. The serial port made a pretty solid connection and held the phone up at a reasonable angle; something I haven't been able to reproduce with a modern smartphone and external bluetooth keyboard. (To be clear, the bluetooth keyboards work fine; I just haven't figured out how to hold the phone at a reasonable angle while typing with both hands.)<p>So yeah, really? I wasn't all that less mobile then than I am now. I mean, I had a thinkpad running linux then, just like now; sure, it was slower, but it ran linux just fine. Configuring wireless, sure, was a pain in the ass then, and it's easy now, but eh.
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noblethrasher大约 12 年前
The thing I miss most about the year 2000 is that randomly meeting new and interesting people was literally effortless.
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noblethrasher大约 12 年前
I seem to remember that sending an arbitrarily large file to someone was far more straightforward back then. Mainstream options included ICQ and AIM (with direct connect). Slightly more esoteric was NetMeeting. Windows 98 even came with a web server and your ISP probably wasn't blocking port 80.
purplelobster大约 12 年前
One and a half years ago I didn't even have a smartphone (late adopter), and I printed out Google Maps directions whenever I had to go somewhere new since I didn't have a GPS. Forget all the useless apps and internet browsing while on the can... GPS and maps is the killer app for smartphones.
egypturnash大约 12 年前
I was born in 1971. I don't think I really started feeling like HOLY CRAP I LIVE IN THE FUTURE until 2010 when I got my first smartphone. Which is coincidentally the same year the iPad came out; when I got the second generation of that, that was a big dose of FUTURE for a couple months.<p>Oh, and the Raspberry Pi. Thirty-five bucks for an easily-hackable UNIX system. Ten bucks more for a wifi dongle and you can have damn near anything you can imagine connected to the net.<p>This is mostly the new normal now but I still look back at how different things were growing up and I'm amazed and delighted. It's... whatever the opposite of "future shock" is. Stuff has changed a lot and I'm loving it.
swang大约 12 年前
It seems the guy made an mistake. The Rio PMP300 with its 32mb of memory was actually awesome. Every day carefully picking the 7 or 8 songs I would listen to for the rest of the day. Blur's Song #2 usually made it because it was such a short song.
orangethirty大约 12 年前
I met my wife in 1999 through ICQ. One year after I was busy learning about, well, how things work, if you understand what I mean. Was lucky that neve got me into trouble. Had a blazing fast 133Mhz tower that I had traded for a <i>car</i>. I learned my first bit of Python on that thing. Those were the days...
alaskamiller大约 12 年前
I remember Y2K.<p>Dale Gribble was inspiring everyone to freak out in Arlen, Texas. The seniors were getting coddled because they're the first millennium class.<p>The Rio PMP300 is f-ing amazing since it made it much easier than my Sony MiniDisc recorder/player having to use sound breaks to copy MP3 tracks.<p>There was no WiFi but then again it's not like anyone had laptops to use that anyways. I had to use the powerline as my network. But I do remember writing HTML for the high school web team and thought I was amazing.<p>I remember not being able to send a whole album through email but then if you knew anything you would have been splitting zip/rar files or how to fake upload ratios to leech off FTPs anyways.<p>Yahoo was all you needed. Yahoo directory was good, Inktomi kind of sucked so everyone used AltaVista, Yahoo Mail was good, Yahoo Maps was good, Yahoo Games was good, Yahoo News was good. There were no ads but if there were there was probably some auto-clicker to let you make a paycheck out of it.<p>I remember having a 5 digit ICQ number, remember AOL Profile was my Facebook, AIM status messages was my Twitter, Netscape Navigator could be bought in a store like CompUSA.<p>I remember spending all your time on a computer, or especially the Internet Information Superhighway if anyway knew what even means meant you weren't like them. But now it's a given.<p>A few years ago I reflected, thinking how far out in the future I was living just by the good fortune of having grown up in Silicon Valley. I've been online for 18 years now, babies then are now legal adults, and it's been three lifetimes of watching the internet being the internet.<p>And compared to other industries like Hollywood which endured more than 85 years, we've barely begun.
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serf大约 12 年前
The Rio looked absolutely no more ridiculous than the early iPods. It still looks fine, just big.
gordaco大约 12 年前
The article reminds me of this blog: <a href="http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/" rel="nofollow">http://blogs.smithsonianmag.com/paleofuture/</a>. Although lately it's featuring too many articles about the Jetsons.
otikik大约 12 年前
The <i>distant</i> future.<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mvrva8NoMLM" rel="nofollow">http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mvrva8NoMLM</a>
tudorw大约 12 年前
1997 -&#62; <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psion_Series_5" rel="nofollow">http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Psion_Series_5</a>
benbou09大约 12 年前
Napster was created in 1999.