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The Internet sky really is falling

21 点作者 urlwolf大约 16 年前

9 条评论

slavox大约 16 年前
I found this article, rather vague..<p>How is it that computer networks will override moore's law? Either networking is inherently too costly on CPU/Hardware Or someone miscalculated that with a rise in computer power the networking infrastructure also rises in power..<p>Also using Youtube as an example for "clogged tubes" is silly, Youtube is clogging their own tubes (Ours too but only because we're not keeping up in rolling out new networks) Think of delivery via means like Bittorrent (no that doesn't instantly mean piracy) But rather as a protocol for distribution and even streaming media..More efficent so it makes the youtube costs much smaller and the overall load more distributed.<p>There is a maximum amount of traffic that could flow on the internet currently, but theoretically we will one day have a limit to our consumption above 1080p we might only ever need 2k and so that will be video, text is too small to worry about and music will only change in quality to a few gigs per album, So what more could we transfer?
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danh大约 16 年前
If this was true, we should be seeing bandwidth becoming more expensive. At least here in Sweden, the opposite seems to be true: prices seem to continue to fall.<p>And for the idea that we will someday hit a "capacity ceiling" to be true, price elasticity for bandwidth (and IP numbers) must be very, very low. I don't know of any evidence that we are ready to pay humongous amounts for tomorrows 3D, 2160p, video streams.
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chaosmachine大约 16 年前
Does anyone have more info on YouTube "discontinuing video delivery to certain geographies due to lack of access capacity"? From what I understand this was more of a "we can't monetize 3rd world traffic" problem.
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pert大约 16 年前
I don't agree with the "lack of access capacity" being a blocker for Internet growth/development. This problem can be solved easily by more investment from the cable/Telecom companies.
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quoderat大约 16 年前
I remember seeing this same alarmism in 1995. And 1997. And 1999. And...and...and. Tired of it.
jodrellblank大约 16 年前
Oh please don't call the successor technology "LISP".
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theblackbox大约 16 年前
I often wonder if the Beeb could implement a location aware torrent based streaming app for iPlayer... I think they could drastically cut their costs if they just let their data exist on license payers personal networks, and it would make a hell of an experiment on optimising data flow.
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johnbender大约 16 年前
'cable companies are implementing "usage caps" to keep users from, er, consuming "too much" bandwidth'<p>used as proof that we're running out of capacity...
Ardit20大约 16 年前
Perhaps the broadband providers are 'capping bandwidth' because the research these guys did seems to give them some added legitimacy to do so?