I'm fairly new to the Bitcoin world, but it seems to me that ultimately (in 10 years or so) one of two things will happen:<p>1) Bitcoin will gain large-scale adoption. As a result, the value of Bitcoins will greatly increase from what it is today.<p>2) Bitcoin will fail due to government regulations, better alternatives, or other unforeseen reasons. As a result, Bitcoins will become effectively worthless.<p>Am I oversimplifying so far? If I'm not, then it seems like investing substantially in Bitcoins (purchasing coins) now will either make me very rich in 10 years, or I'll lose my initial investment.<p>By the same logic, if I earn coins by mining now and hold them, I will either be rich in 10 years, or I'll lose my mining investments.<p>I'm not interested in diving into mining to earn a quick 10-20k while the market fluctuates, so as a long term strategy it sounds like investing is the more sensible and less time consuming option. Thoughts?