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Self-driving cars could save more than 21,700 lives, $450B a year

26 点作者 dsleno超过 11 年前
I'll buy a self driving car if they let me sleep in the backseat.

10 条评论

milesf超过 11 年前
<p><pre><code> Of course, many such benefits may not be realized until high [numbers of self-driving vehicles] are present </code></pre> Insurance will drive the adoption of self-driving vehicles. If you can buy a vehicle that statistically won&#x27;t get into an accident, it will be cheaper to insure.
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ableal超过 11 年前
1. Car design, interiors: get rid of pedals and steering wheel, have a touch screen (possibly your phone) for communication. Cross an elevator with a tiny lounge, have a single central sliding door or whatever.<p>2. Insurance companies: basically, they operate on a margin over the volume of business. Which will go drastically down.<p>3. Switch over: I&#x27;ll bet it will be more sudden than anticipated. Think &quot;cash for clunkers&quot;, &quot;buckle up your safety belt&quot; and &quot;dont drink and drive&quot; programs all rolled up in one and magnified tenfold. Anything to get the murderous unsafe machines off the roads.<p>4. The smug, withering, contempt of news writers in twenty years will be something to behold: how could those primitives allow themselves that awful road carnage for so long?
EGreg超过 11 年前
I am more worried about pollution.<p>Hopefully the self driving cars will be re-used like driverless Uber cabs. That would reduce the unsightly clutter on so many American streets, colloquially known as &quot;parked cars&quot; and alleviate congestion on city streets, much of which comes from cars circling around the block &quot;looking for a spot to park&quot;.<p>Sure, it would cut into the revenues of parking lots and car manufacturers. But IMHO no one has done more to pollute the environment than the latter. The number of people on the planet has increased and - even as Europe cuta down on its car population thanks to the high price of petrol - we US folk continue to purchase our gas guzzlers and have a car culture in many cities. Some like LA are perpetually covered in smog, so we can see the effects of this car culture.<p>Thankfully, after decades of polluting the environment for our individual joyrides, things are changing - the younger generation isn&#x27;t into owning cars as much, and self drivi g cars are on the way. An unfortunate victim of this trend will be the venerable macho tradition of the man picking the lady up in his OWN shiny ride, which he drives. Now it will be about renting the car for the occasion, and both occupants can interact with each other while the car is in motion.<p>In short:<p><pre><code> Less pollution Less congestion Less wasting time looking for parking More equality between sexes in terms of driving Less unsightly clutter on streets Less revenues from car manufacturers from producing CARS, so they can focus on recurring revenues (eg renting stuff inside their fleet) </code></pre> Hopefully this will lead to a more sustainable form of transportation.
neals超过 11 年前
I think &quot;not owning&quot; a car is going to be a big thing. Car sharing even more so.<p>I used to be one of those people that would never ever give up his car. Giving up my freedom and pinning me to this city? Never.<p>After having my car broken into and vandalized a couple of times added to the insane cost of parking where I live, I did eventually give up my car 1 year ago.<p>I now use a car &quot;sharing&quot; service where a company owns 100&#x27;s of car throughout the country, all bound to their own (extremely convenient) parking spot. I reserve the car 1 minute in advance, open it up with my phone and drive.<p>The best thing is: It&#x27;s not my car.<p>I don&#x27;t care what happens to it. I just leave it at its little spot after I&#x27;m done and I forget about it. No maintenance, hardly ever have to fill it up with gas, billing takes place at the end of the month.<p>Now imagine this car not having that parking spot but being automated and just picking me up from my doorstep. Not having to put it back into it&#x27;s designated spot. I would feel pretty awesome about that.
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pcurve超过 11 年前
The article interchangeably uses &quot;self-driving car&quot; and &quot;autonomous car&quot;, but it doesn&#x27;t clarify whether the benefit calculations include completely unmanned usage.<p>A car that drives by itself with passengers in it, is one thing. But an unmanned vehicle takes the concept to a whole new level.<p>It will have an incredibly deflationary effect on the economy. Trucking is a $600 billion business. It employs 3 million people. Over a million of them are long-haul truckers. And that&#x27;s not counting non-driving support staff. With self-driving trucks, 30% reduction in headcount isn&#x27;t unrealistic.<p>That&#x27;s just one example.<p>It&#x27;s a scary prospect for many people.
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AnthonyMouse超过 11 年前
The questions the article asks are extremely poor.<p>&gt; Could automakers prevent hackers from getting into onboard computers?<p>&quot;Hackers.&quot; Modifying their own cars. Terrible.<p>&gt; And who would be liable in the event of an accident in a self-driving car?<p>The insurance company.
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j2d3超过 11 年前
Car makers fear and will do whatever they can to stop autonomous cars as they represent an existential threat to their business. We will need an order of magnitude fewer cars in a world of cars-aas, on demand cars... it blows away the entire industry. .. People are, I think, underestimating just how sweeping the shift would be once it actually gets fully underway. It is not an incremental change... It&#x27;s like the shift from horse and Carriage to autos... That big or bigger
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aptwebapps超过 11 年前
At some point in the future, someone who decides to drive manually and gets in an accident may be liable for much more than they are now.
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mercuryrising超过 11 年前
I see a couple of extremely powerful advantages to having a self driving car.<p>Your family only needs one car. You go to work at 8, and your kids go to school on the way so you drop them off. You get to work at 8:15, the car drops you off and heads back home. Your wife heads to work when the car gets back at 8:35, she gets there at 8:45. Your kids get off school at 3, but they have an after school activity so they let the car know it can charge up until 3:30, when it comes to pick them up. It drives there, picks the kids up at 3:45, gets back at 4, drives back to pick you up, brings you back home, drives to pick your SO up at 5, and by the time your SO gets home you have dinner ready.<p>If you&#x27;re a single person you could probably split the car 5 ways with your friends. You could probably make a lot of money if you make an app that says &quot;Pick me up here, my current GPS location, and drive me to work 15 minutes away at 8:00 AM every weekday. Bring me from work at 4:30 to a destination of my choosing after work&quot;. You could extremely accurately predict the price of transit, you know the probability of accidents. It&#x27;s cheaper than any taxi, it&#x27;s convenient.<p>Few accidents, no traffic jams, courteous to drivers, no speeding or parking tickets (unless you &#x27;opt in&#x27; to speed), leisure, take a nap on the way to and from where you&#x27;re going. The cars return to &#x27;base&#x27; which is a parking lot that has a roof outfitted with solar energy, allowing the cars to store energy during the day. When cars weren&#x27;t being used, if they still have juice, they either share the energy with the other cars that returned, or they compensate for the lack of renewable production at night. Some cars are &#x27;regimented&#x27;, where they follow the same pattern every day of the week. How much energy they use is known, they know how much energy they need to start the day with, and how much they can contribute back to the grid. There&#x27;s other cars that are free runners that are always kept charged in case they need to drive to somewhere 4 hours away.<p>It&#x27;d be a little bit of an inconvenience to move things, but If you wanted to go from city A to city B, but needed to recharge halfway, you could just jump out and jump into another car at the charging station. NFC to verify who you are, grab your things and go. When you&#x27;re driving towards the recharging station, it knows what music you have playing, what temperature everything is at, it preheats or precools the car for you - to ensure that swapping cars doesn&#x27;t feel like swapping cars. Maybe you go to the bathroom at the rest stop, and when you come out the car is ready to go with all your belongings swapped. Put a little container in the middle that you can stash stuff in, just grab that when you change cars.<p>And carpooling - if you have 10 people that go to to work 15 minutes away, get some sort of carpool system going. First person gets on, the car drives to the next house, waits 2 minutes for the person to come, if they do great, if not they take off towards the next house. You say what time you want to be picked up, and a time within 10,20,30 minutes that you&#x27;d like to get there. Cheaper service if you have a bigger window of availability. Car texts you when it&#x27;s outside (you can follow it on the map once it engages your current location).<p>I like thinking about electric cars.
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001sky超过 11 年前
<i>Self-driving cars could save more than 21,700 lives, $450B a year</i><p>Until they get spoofed. That will be fun.<p>link to paper: <a href="https://www.enotrans.org/wp-content/uploads/wpsc/downloadables/AV-paper.pdf" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.enotrans.org&#x2F;wp-content&#x2F;uploads&#x2F;wpsc&#x2F;downloadabl...</a>
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