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How and why Bitcoin will plummet in price

16 点作者 clarkm超过 11 年前

4 条评论

Udo超过 11 年前
Wow, this is probably the most ignorant thing I&#x27;ve read in a while:<p>&quot;<i>Let’s say it costs the QuitCoin company $50 in per unit marketing costs for each arbitrage of this nature. (Alternatively you can think of that sum as representing the natural monopoly reserve currency advantage of BitCoin.) In that case both the company and the buyers of QuitCoin are better off at the initial transfer price of $400 and people will prefer that new medium. Over time the price of BitCoin will have to fall to about $450 in response to competition.</i>&quot;<p>First, BitCoin (and pretty much any other crypto currency) is not a company. It doesn&#x27;t have to market anything and there is no bank-like entity necessary to drive it. I&#x27;m not sure why that&#x27;s so difficult to understand, but it seems to be an issue.<p>However, the biggest WTF here is the idea that the &quot;cheaper&quot; currency will win out. That&#x27;s the reason behind someone arguing you should, say, only buy Rubles and never Dollars: because they&#x27;re so much cheaper!<p>Now don&#x27;t get me wrong, BTC may well (and did) go down and up again dramatically during its time, but the argument here is ridiculous to the point of being indistinguishable from satire.
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davidpaulkrug超过 11 年前
He&#x27;s predicted the crash before and got it wrong.... How many times does he have to predict it before you realize he doesn&#x27;t get it ?
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reedlaw超过 11 年前
&gt; There is thus a new theorem: the value of WitCoin should, in equilibrium, be equal to the marketing costs of its potential competitors.<p>Apply that to anything else and it easily breaks down. E.g. the value of iPhones should be equal to the marketing costs of its potential competitors? Luxury cars? Brand name clothing?
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hoers超过 11 年前
This seems to become another Hacker News cliché<p>&gt;Why bitcoin will [..] in price.<p>I&#x27;m full.