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Japan's aging population could actually be good news

38 点作者 eugenesia超过 11 年前

9 条评论

didgeoridoo超过 11 年前
&gt; But fewer people in future will mean it has more living space, more arable land per head, and a higher quality of life, says Eberstadt. Its demands on the planet for food and other resources will also lessen.<p>Different day, same Malthusian bullshit. These people can only think of humans as net negative parasites on the planet, rather than individual agents with a positive expected value to society. Density is GOOD — it leads to cross-pollination of ideas and the advancement of the world. Yes, the planet is on a path that will require us to eventually get smarter about resource consumption. Advocating fewer people on Earth is the most harmful &amp; naive way to solve that problem.<p>If your life raft is sinking, do you try to patch it, or do you throw someone overboard? Your instinctual answer says a lot about the type of person you are.<p>[edit: I&#x27;d remove the last paragraph if it weren&#x27;t intellectually dishonest to do so. I feel like it&#x27;s causing people to miss my main point. It was written more out of anger than reason. Please ignore.]
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rayiner超过 11 年前
Here&#x27;s the problem I see with both population decline and life extension: lots of research indicates that the creative peak happens from 20-40 or so. Geniuses rarely continue to be the same level of productive after that. In other words, progress is probably better served by giving two people the chance to live 50 years than one person the chance to live 100, though resource consumption is about the same. An aging society, one without new generations of people with new ideas, is not a vital and creative one. Progress is served by turnover.
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guard-of-terra超过 11 年前
In countries where fertility rate is much under 2.0, people tend to have two opinions on demographics:<p>1) If you don&#x27;t have enough (read: a lot of) money then don&#x27;t have children. If you&#x27;re not ready to spend all your time on children while still making enough money then don&#x27;t have children. If you&#x27;re not the model family then don&#x27;t have children. If we think you&#x27;re not the best parent possible then don&#x27;t have children. You better not have your children too late and certainly not too early. And yes, we&#x27;re going to take your child away the first moment we suspect something from above violated.<p>2) People are so damn selfish, they don&#x27;t understand that their prime happiness is their children, they spend their lives on themself and so we&#x27;re all going to die as a nation and as an economy.<p>Surprisingly enough we often see both at the same time in one individual. More often than not.
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guard-of-terra超过 11 年前
I also think of this problem as about an elective one.<p>Imagine you have half voters over 65.<p>Why would they care about innovation or ecology or whatever common good? They would only care about getting their cut of social security. This way they can easily throw a society off the cliff if it happens tomorrow. They don&#x27;t care about tomorrow.<p>Yeah, and they also like to tell youth how to live their life. Especially in the areas themself can no longer do anything. This can lead to repressive and suffocating societal changes.
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w1ntermute超过 11 年前
1. Overcrowding in Japan is largely due to such a large percentage of the population congregating in Tokyo. If the Japanese economy (and thus population) were more decentralized, this wouldn&#x27;t be such a big problem.<p>2. A lot of the reasons for the high cost of living has to do with protectionism. For example, the rice farmer lobby benefits from very high tariffs on imported rice. Most of the rice farmers are old men, so more young people (or the existing young people being more politically engaged) could actually help fix this problem.
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themgt超过 11 年前
It&#x27;s the &quot;Children of Men&quot; solution to the automation&#x2F;jobs crisis.
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lkrubner超过 11 年前
Interesting:<p>&quot;Japan has the world&#x27;s oldest population, with a median age of 46 years, an average lifespan of 84, and a quarter of the population over 65. &quot;<p>That is a very old population!
TheAldGarde超过 11 年前
This comes without surprise. A higher median age for any population is usually indicative of higher quality of life.<p>There&#x27;s a good TedTalks video on the subject. There&#x27;s also a good book called Common Wealth written by Jeff Sachs that covers this.
squirejons超过 11 年前
an aging population means GDP will decline!<p>Ziss is unspeakable! Ziss is an unmitigated disaster for corporate profits!<p>GDP uber alles!<p>Ve must force japan to take in immigrants! For ze sake of corporate profits! GDP uber alles!