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West Coast apocalypse: How “earthquake storms” could devastate California

23 点作者 vasusen大约 11 年前

6 条评论

cossatot大约 11 年前
For anyone more interested in this, here are some resources:<p>Unified California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF):<p><a href="http://www.scec.org/ucerf2/" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.scec.org&#x2F;ucerf2&#x2F;</a><p>The seminal paper on Coulomb stress change work, by GCP King, Ross Stein, and Jian Lin, with particular focus on SoCal:<p><a href="http://profile.usgs.gov/myscience/upload_folder/ci2010Jul081439474296657%20King_Stein_Lin_BSSA_1994.pdf" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;profile.usgs.gov&#x2F;myscience&#x2F;upload_folder&#x2F;ci2010Jul081...</a><p>The classic paper by Ross Stein and friends on the stress evolution of the N. Anatolian Fault:<p><a href="http://www.ipgp.fr/~armijo/paraseminario/Stein-97.pdf" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ipgp.fr&#x2F;~armijo&#x2F;paraseminario&#x2F;Stein-97.pdf</a><p>A short video on coseismic stress change on the North Anatolian Fault:<p><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qAmcVZbnAKc" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=qAmcVZbnAKc</a><p>(Note that the viscoelastic properties of the lower crust and upper mantle lead to a time dependence not shown in these models, which are fully elastic calculations).
dribnet大约 11 年前
&quot;Elsewhere in northern California, a major earthquake along the subduction zone between Cape Mendocino and Vancouver Island—a region known to geologists and seismologists as Cascadia and which the Working Group gave a 10% chance of rupturing in the next 30 years—will almost certainly be followed within decades, perhaps even within hours, by a major earthquake along the northern segment of the San Andreas.&quot;<p>Notable that Sunday evening there was a 6.9 quake in that region which was the California&#x27;s largest in the past 7 years. I believe a deformation (not a rupture) - but it was just south of Cascadia near where it meets with the San Andreas fault close to the Mendocino triple junction. [1]<p>[1] <a href="http://www.decodedscience.com/m6-9-california-earthquake-largest-tremor-seven-years-strikes-cape-mendocino/43540" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.decodedscience.com&#x2F;m6-9-california-earthquake-lar...</a>
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tdees40大约 11 年前
But this isn&#x27;t the only natural disaster California should be concerned about...<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Flood_of_1862" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Great_Flood_of_1862</a>
aaron695大约 11 年前
It&#x27;s funny just how bad Upworthy is has really pointed out to me how bad Salon is.<p>They more rely on link bait titles than well written, thought out stories with substance.<p>I&#x27;s quite hard to work out if this article has any credibility it jumps around so much.
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biesnecker大约 11 年前
From the lips of the great prophet Maynard James Keenan: <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uCEeAn6_QJo" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.youtube.com&#x2F;watch?v=uCEeAn6_QJo</a><p>&quot;See you down in Arizona Bay.&quot;
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wiredfool大约 11 年前
That article screams out for some fault maps. And pictures of scarps.
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