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Techstars Graduates’ Survival Rates: What the Numbers Show

106 点作者 markmassie超过 10 年前

12 条评论

tonydiv超过 10 年前
I know a lot of zombie startups that make little to no money, yet they raised seed rounds that will last them 2 years.<p>I know a handful of other startups that were &quot;acqui-hired&quot; but the founders did not see any returns (and the VCs didn&#x27;t even get their initial investment back). Even in the case that the returns were 1.2x the initial investment, these are not the winners that investors are looking for.<p>I would love to see a more in-depth analysis of these situations, but unfortunately, many of them are not publicized.
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Balgair超过 10 年前
Well, on a long enough time span, all companies die. Picking the number of years afterward to measure by is tough and may not be the best way to do so. Perhaps measuring the success by a more personal and human method describes the elephant better: Deferred income. Take an average (yes, also fraught with trouble) of yearly income for people of that skill set (entrepuners, coders, widget makers, inventors, etc ) and then see if the founders and employees made less, within a standard deviation, or far above that average, on a year to year basis. This is really troublesome to get the data at all, as it is very personal and emotional to a lot of folk. Also, the average is pretty wonky here as well. However, it should be a starting point to see how companies are doing a little bit better than a plain up&#x2F;down number.
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cpncrunch超过 10 年前
If you have a look at the Y Combinator startups (at <a href="http://yclist.com" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;yclist.com</a>), quite a large proportion of the 2008 and earlier startups appear to be dead. Although it only lists &quot;Dead&quot; for a some of them, if you click on the links for the other sites (apart from the ones that say &quot;Exited&quot;) you&#x27;ll see a lot of their websites don&#x27;t exist any more. It looks like about 80-90% are dead.
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Animats超过 10 年前
That&#x27;s about normal for VC-funded firms. About 10% are big winners, about 10% go bust, and the rest become &quot;zombies&quot;, able to meet their operating expenses but not return their investment. Zombies are a headache for VCs; they require attention but generate no revenue.<p>YCombinator has been reducing the amount of startup capital each startup gets, so that the zombies die faster.<p><a href="http://www.quora.com/Whats-the-real-reason-for-the-drop-in-cash-that-Y-Combinator-gives-companies" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.quora.com&#x2F;Whats-the-real-reason-for-the-drop-in-c...</a>
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api超过 10 年前
I&#x27;d like to see data on &quot;no accelerator&quot;. This of course would be tougher to put together, since by definition there exists no coherent list of such companies in one place.<p>Other related data breakdowns I&#x27;d love to see:<p>- Number of founders<p>- Amount of seed capital taken<p>- Type of funding vehicle (equity, convertible note, SAFE or similar)<p>- Location
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jkaljundi超过 10 年前
@sama said: &quot;there are now 27 YC companies worth $100 million or more!&quot; - I wonder how many there are for TS?<p>@Grabcad was sold for ~100m, I wonder what the other major successes have been?
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Gatsky超过 10 年前
These charts aren&#x27;t great. A single survival curve could display all of that data, and account for the different starting times of the startups[1]. But it looks like Datawrapper can&#x27;t do survival curves. Also, a 3 section pie chart is a waste of space.<p>[1] <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaplan%E2%80%93Meier_estimator" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Kaplan%E2%80%93Meier_estimator</a>
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tomkin超过 10 年前
I wonder if most of the people behind these startups are still working under the &quot;work hard, huge payout&quot; mantra, given the evidence against that highly unlikely outcome.
joelrunyon超过 10 年前
Does this include startups that were incubated by another accelerator which was bought by TechStars?<p>Excellerate Labs in Chicago comes to mind..
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gkop超过 10 年前
So 0 IPOs so far?
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ommunist超过 10 年前
What is always deceiving in statistics like that? Authors rarely realise the fact that even if just a single startup survives with a good product, it is much better for humanity than survival of a single journalist or statistician (except R programmers, those are precious).
samirmenon超过 10 年前
&quot;We also think these breakouts aren’t necessarily a good way to judge accelerators.&quot;<p>Is Y Combinator a bit arrogant to say that the success of its startups is a bad a metric for evaluating their success? If it is a bad metric, what&#x27;s a good metric?
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