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Best Time to Post on Hacker News: It's Irrelevant

51 点作者 anton_tarasenko大约 10 年前

8 条评论

nothrabannosir大约 10 年前
<i>Here’s another example: Y-Combinator’s Hacker News, which has a solid community and transparent ranking algorithm.</i><p>What? HN&#x27;s ranking algorithm is notoriously opaque and manual. Or are other websites even more so?
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minimaxir大约 10 年前
What is going on with that KDE chart? From the code, it seems like the X-axis is hour-of-submission, and density is determined by average points per DOW&#x2F;hour combo.<p>So all the chart shows is that the greatest proportion of points from votes on the weekend come from submissions a few hours later than the proportion of weekday votes, which doesn&#x27;t answer the question &quot;is it better to submit on a weekday or a weekend?&quot;<p>&gt; <i>Time-related variables explain less than 1% of variation—meaning, unsurprisingly, that the other 99% depend on something else. </i><p>Where do you get the 1% figure from? That&#x27;s not shown anywhere in the code. You could calculate a R^2 from a linear regression, sure, but the data violates all the rules that make linear regression valid.
antoko大约 10 年前
TLDR oversimplifying article is overly simple and gets things wrong and doesn&#x27;t consider others.<p><i>The rules are simple: a user submits a link and title, the community upvote and downvote this submission.</i><p>Yes the rules are simple (they&#x27;re actually not but they can be simplified), but yet the article seems to have gotten them wrong, submissions don&#x27;t have downvotes.<p>I starting skimming after that, it appears the metric he&#x27;s using is number of upvotes, this is NOT the relevant metric, posters are looking for exposure - what they want is a position on the front page. While those things are linked they&#x27;re not the same. Would also probably want to take into account pageviews on weekends vs. weekdays as this affects exposure. Maybe it correlates to votes&#x2F;no. of submissions, but maybe more people passively consume on weekends or weekdays.
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andrewstuart2大约 10 年前
Actually, I did some research on this that would indicate otherwise about a year ago after pulling all the articles from the API. Statistically, the best time to post for average score was Saturday Morning, around 8 GMT IIRC.<p>It made sense, too. As most analyses will show, fewer articles are posted on the weekend and therefore <i>new</i> turnover is pretty low.<p>(Just pulled the numbers again. The average jumps up 4 points at 11 GMT on Saturday and stays there until 3 GMT on Monday morning)
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arnauddri大约 10 年前
looking at this stats here might be the wrong approach.<p>&#x27;How to get on the front page of HN?&#x27; is basically the same problem as &#x27;How to jump from the &#x27;newest&#x27;&#x27;s section front page to the HN&#x27;s front page before my post gets replaced by newer posts there?&#x27;<p>To do so, you need to remain long enough on the &#x27;newest&#x27;&#x27;s section front page which happens when there is less &#x27;posting competition&#x27;. So if you post around 8-9am EST (see here: [1]), your post will remains longer on the &#x27;newest&#x27; front page which gives you more time to gather upvotes. At this time, the competition is such that it is easier to jump on the front page as there are less items posted.<p>However, this happens right before a lot of traffic pours into the website which ensure you can enjoy a lot of visibility&#x2F;upvotes once you are on the front page.<p>[1] <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;minimaxir.com&#x2F;2014&#x2F;02&#x2F;hacking-hacker-news&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;minimaxir.com&#x2F;2014&#x2F;02&#x2F;hacking-hacker-news&#x2F;</a>
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tremendo大约 10 年前
Ha, relevant, since I was wondering about [1] going mostly unnoticed having been posted 8 hours prior to [2]. At first my assumption was that surely Nature is a better source than Yahoo for such an article, but after a quick read maybe not, Yahoo seems to provide more references to supporting articles even within Nature.<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=9423401" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=9423401</a> [2] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=9425070" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=9425070</a>
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solve大约 10 年前
Lovely parody on how to do statistics to reach totally wrong conclusions.
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comrade1大约 10 年前
There&#x27;s been so many data-wanking articles posted on HN lately I find it hard to believe that everyone wants to read yet another. Maybe they got this one through by posting at the optimal time?<p>(sorry, I know humor is not allowed on HN. It&#x27;s serious business here)
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