TE
科技回声
首页24小时热榜最新最佳问答展示工作
GitHubTwitter
首页

科技回声

基于 Next.js 构建的科技新闻平台,提供全球科技新闻和讨论内容。

GitHubTwitter

首页

首页最新最佳问答展示工作

资源链接

HackerNews API原版 HackerNewsNext.js

© 2025 科技回声. 版权所有。

Are random trading strategies more successful than technical ones? (2013) [pdf]

17 点作者 xvirk大约 10 年前

6 条评论

cholmon大约 10 年前
The most interesting point I think is in the conclusion, namely the idea of central banks <i>adding</i> uncertainty in the hopes of bursting bubbles while they&#x27;re small.<p>&quot;...if the policy-maker (Central Banks) intervened by randomly buying and selling financial assets, two results could be simultaneously obtained. From an individual point of view, agents would suffer less for asymmetric or insider information, due to the consciousness of a &#x27;fog of uncertainty&#x27; created by the random investments. From a systemic point of view, again the herding behavior would be consequently reduced and eventual bubbles would burst when they are still small and are less dangerous; thus, the entire financial system would be less prone to the speculative behavior of credible &#x27;guru&#x27; traders.&quot;
binarnosp大约 10 年前
&quot;Thinking fast and slow&quot; by Daniel Kahneman dedicates an entire chapter analyzing why traders think that they know how to predict the future of markets, even when faced with real data that proves otherwise. In fact, a completely random algorithm often outperforms professional traders.
meeper16大约 10 年前
Relevant:<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;cymetica.com&#x2F;tuatara&#x2F;returns-long-v07.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;cymetica.com&#x2F;tuatara&#x2F;returns-long-v07.html</a><p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;cymetica.com&#x2F;tuatara&#x2F;returns-long-random-v07.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;cymetica.com&#x2F;tuatara&#x2F;returns-long-random-v07.html</a>
carry_bit大约 10 年前
Isn&#x27;t this what you&#x27;d expect to see in a relatively efficient market? If technical strategies did yield an advantage, wouldn&#x27;t that suggest that not all of the available information has been exploited?
gd1大约 10 年前
So-called &#x27;technical analysis&#x27; is bullshit. News at eleven.
评论 #9564019 未加载
z92大约 10 年前
Or maybe technical tradings are no better than random ones.