...or one could resort to the implied risk at Greek government bonds. A bond which matures in November next year trades at about 60% of the value you will (or wont) receive at that date. In other words the odds are roughly 2:3 that Greece defaults until then.<p><a href="http://www.finanzen.net/anleihen/191049-Griechenland-Anleihe" rel="nofollow">http://www.finanzen.net/anleihen/191049-Griechenland-Anleihe</a>